Cosme Polese Borges and his co-authors published a new article “Green hydrogen production in a semi-arid region: A system dynamics analysis of water supply alternatives” in Sustainable Futures.
This study applies a system dynamics model to examine how water-supply strategies—recycled water and seawater desalination—affect large-scale green hydrogen production in Ceará, Brazil, (2026–2050). Results show water architecture strongly shapes hydrogen output and operational burdens. Desalination scenarios produce moderate volumes (≈397–509 kt/year) but require the most energy and generate significant brine loads, increasing coastal pressures. A transitional mix yields the lowest output (≈252 kt/year) due to poorly aligned infrastructure expansion. In contrast, a fully circular recycled-water scenario delivers the highest production (≈862 kt/year), eliminates brine discharge and reduces energy intensity. The findings highlight water governance as a strategic factor for equitable, sustainable hydrogen development in semi-arid regions.




















































